Talk:AI predictions - Revision history

KevinYager: /* Gary Marcus other */

2025-10-06T13:07:56Z

‎Gary Marcus other

KevinYager: /* Skeptical */

2025-10-06T13:07:44Z

‎Skeptical

KevinYager: /* Random Essays */

2025-05-10T13:58:17Z

‎Random Essays

KevinYager at 13:55, 10 May 2025

2025-05-10T13:55:10Z

KevinYager: Created page with "==Skeptical== ===Gary Marcus predictions=== * 2022-03: [https://nautil.us/deep-learning-is-hitting-a-wall-238440/ Deep Learning Is Hitting a Wall: What would it take for artif..."

2025-03-02T20:53:38Z

Created page with "==Skeptical== ===Gary Marcus predictions=== * 2022-03: [https://nautil.us/deep-learning-is-hitting-a-wall-238440/ Deep Learning Is Hitting a Wall: What would it take for artif..."

New page

==Skeptical==
===Gary Marcus predictions===
* 2022-03: [https://nautil.us/deep-learning-is-hitting-a-wall-238440/ Deep Learning Is Hitting a Wall: What would it take for artificial intelligence to make real progress?]
* 2024-03: [https://garymarcus.substack.com/p/two-years-later-deep-learning-is Two years later, deep learning is still faced with the same fundamental challenges]
* 2024-04: [https://garymarcus.substack.com/p/evidence-that-llms-are-reaching-a Evidence that LLMs are reaching a point of diminishing returns — and what that might mean]

@@ Line 5: / Line 5: @@
 * 2024-04: [https://garymarcus.substack.com/p/evidence-that-llms-are-reaching-a Evidence that LLMs are reaching a point of diminishing returns — and what that might mean]
 ===Gary Marcus other===
-* 2022-05: [Horse rides astronaut: What nearly everyone got wrong about DALL-E & Google’s Imagen, and why when it comes to AI hype, you still can't believe what you read]
+* 2022-05: [https://garymarcus.substack.com/p/horse-rides-astronaut Horse rides astronaut: What nearly everyone got wrong about DALL-E & Google’s Imagen, and why when it comes to AI hype, you still can't believe what you read]
 ** 2025-10: [https://x.com/elder_plinius/status/1974576650928152681 Pliny the Liberator]

← Older revision		Revision as of 13:58, 10 May 2025
Line 11:		Line 11:
	** 2023-09: [https://sohl-dickstein.github.io/2023/09/10/diversity-ai-risk.html Brain dump on the diversity of AI risk]		** 2023-09: [https://sohl-dickstein.github.io/2023/09/10/diversity-ai-risk.html Brain dump on the diversity of AI risk]
	** 2024-02: [https://sohl-dickstein.github.io/2024/02/12/fractal.html Neural network training makes beautiful fractals]		** 2024-02: [https://sohl-dickstein.github.io/2024/02/12/fractal.html Neural network training makes beautiful fractals]
		+	* [https://giansegato.com/essays Gian]
		+	** 2025-04: [https://giansegato.com/essays/agency-is-eating-the-world Agency is Eating the World]

← Older revision		Revision as of 13:55, 10 May 2025
Line 4:		Line 4:
	* 2024-03: [https://garymarcus.substack.com/p/two-years-later-deep-learning-is Two years later, deep learning is still faced with the same fundamental challenges]		* 2024-03: [https://garymarcus.substack.com/p/two-years-later-deep-learning-is Two years later, deep learning is still faced with the same fundamental challenges]
	* 2024-04: [https://garymarcus.substack.com/p/evidence-that-llms-are-reaching-a Evidence that LLMs are reaching a point of diminishing returns — and what that might mean]		* 2024-04: [https://garymarcus.substack.com/p/evidence-that-llms-are-reaching-a Evidence that LLMs are reaching a point of diminishing returns — and what that might mean]
		+
		+	==Random Essays==
		+	* [https://sohl-dickstein.github.io/ Jascha's Blog]
		+	** 2022-11: [https://sohl-dickstein.github.io/2022/11/06/strong-Goodhart.html Too much efficiency makes everything worse: overfitting and the strong version of Goodhart's law]
		+	** 2023-03: [https://sohl-dickstein.github.io/2023/03/09/coherence.html The hot mess theory of AI misalignment: More intelligent agents behave less coherently]
		+	** 2023-09: [https://sohl-dickstein.github.io/2023/09/10/diversity-ai-risk.html Brain dump on the diversity of AI risk]
		+	** 2024-02: [https://sohl-dickstein.github.io/2024/02/12/fractal.html Neural network training makes beautiful fractals]

@@ Line 4: / Line 4: @@
 * 2024-03: [https://garymarcus.substack.com/p/two-years-later-deep-learning-is Two years later, deep learning is still faced with the same fundamental challenges]
 * 2024-04: [https://garymarcus.substack.com/p/evidence-that-llms-are-reaching-a Evidence that LLMs are reaching a point of diminishing returns — and what that might mean]
 ==Random Essays==